China student competition

Any full-time Chinese student in good standing is eligible to receive an award (which would cover accommodation in Cardiff for the duration of the workshop) plus gratis workshop registration. Top priority will be given to the students presenting papers at the workshop. The paper can cover any aspect of time series analysis but must include results of analysis of the following data sets: China GDP.

The file Data_China_GDP.xls contains quarterly GDP data of China (in billion Rmb in current prices) for the period first quarter 1999 - first quarter 2008.

The task is to forecast the data for the next 20 quarters (5 years). Any technique of time series analysis and forecasting including ARIMA and SSA can be used.