Research Interests
Philosophy
- George Box
All models are wrong but some are useful. - J.J. Faraway
A model can be no more than a good portrait. - Albert Einstein
So far as theories of mathematics are about reality, they are not certain; so far as they are certain, they are not about reality. - M. J. Crawley
There is a temptation to become personally attached to a particular model. Statisticians call this ‘falling in love with your model’. Remember:- All models are wrong.
- Some models are better than others.
- The correct model can never be known with certainty.
- The simpler the model, the better it is.
- Albert Einstein
Everything should be made as simple as possible, but not simpler. - A. Dunkels
It is easy to lie with statistics. It is hard to tell truth without statistics. - J.M. Chambers, W.S. Cleveland, B. Kleiner, P.A. Tukey (1983)
... there is no statistical tool that is as powerful as a well-chosen graph. - Carl Sagan
Humans are good at discerning subtle patterns that are really there, but equally so at imagining them when they are altogether absent. - Jiri Andel
Graphs enable to find laws in data.
Humans are good at discerning subtle patterns that are really there, but equally so at imagining them when they are altogether absent. - J.J. Faraway
Prediction is a tricky business — perhaps the only thing worse than a prediction is no prediction at all. - John von Neumann
Anyone who uses arithmetic methods to produce random numbers is in a state of sin. - George Bernard Shaw
- No question is so difficult to answer as that to which the answer is obvious.
- Everything happens to everybody sooner or later if there is time enough.
- Science ... never solves a problem without creating ten more.
- It is the mark of a truly intelligent person to be moved by statistics.
- Imagination is the beginning of creation. You imagine what you desire, you will what you imagine and at last you create what you will.
- W. Edwards Deming
In God we trust; all others must bring data. - Robert A. Heinlein
Progress is made by lazy men looking for easier ways to do things. - author unknown
I'm not an outlier; I just haven't found my distribution yet. - Buddha
Do not believe in anything simply because you have heard it. But after observation and analysis, when you find that anything agrees with reason and is conducive to the good and the benefit of one and all, then accept it and live up to it. - Mark Twain
The secret of getting ahead is getting started. The secret of getting started is breaking your complex overwhelming tasks into small manageable tasks, and then starting on the first one.
Additional links
- Jiri Andel. How to choose a wrong model. link
- Andrej Pazman. What can be discovered in a formula for the variance of the BLUE. link
- Philosophy. The discovery of the obvious!
- www.dictionary-quotes.com
- Statistics jokes: data collection and distribution